Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and to a lesser extent Andy Murray dominated the ATP for the past decade. As we enter a new decade which players might take control of the ATP tour?
The standout candidates heading into the new decade I think are Dominic Thiem, Daniil Medvedev, Denis Shapovalov, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Felix Auger Aliassime, Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev. When we look back in ten years, I imagine these seven will have shared the majority of big titles on the ATP tour. Therefore, we may find ourselves with a super-seven rather than a big-four.
Once Federer, Nadal and Djokovic have retired, it is not hard to imagine these seven players battling each other for big titles consistently. Leaving the youngest Sinner aside for a moment, the other six have now had at least one year on tour, and we can see that they are very accomplished players who still have varying degrees of scope for improvement. Thiem is the most mature and arguably next in line for grand slam success having already contested two finals at Roland Garros. However, he may find himself in a predicament wherein as he comes to his peak the old guard of Federer, Nadal and Djokovic are still very much in contention and may deny him a major. Then as they leave the game, the other six are all in or coming into their prime.
Jannik Sinner is the most speculative selection of this group since we have only had a look at his first abbreviated year on tour in 2019. Based on what I have seen and the performance markers of past players at the same age, I am confident he will be an active force particularly toward the back half of the decade.
For a time, I was somewhat depressed at the thought of having an ATP tour that did not include Federer. There are no players with the style and completeness of Federer’s game, however, during 2019 the accomplishments of these seven players have given me hope that the ATP tour is going to be very exciting during this next decade.
Which players do you think are going to be at the top for the next ten years?
*Honourable mentions to Andre Rublev and Alex de Minaur who miss out on my super-seven.